Bahamas Weather
Hurricane Season Forecast: Colorado State University Predicts Below-Average Activity in 2014
By Department of Atmospheric Science, Colorado State University
Apr 15, 2014 - 12:50:07 PM

2014 hurricane season forecasts from The Weather Channel (TWC) and Colorado State University (CSU) compared to average (AVG).

Weather experts, Dr. Phillip J. Klotzbach and Dr. William Gray of Colorado State University (CSU) have released their 2014 hurricane season predictions and it is expected to have a below average number of named storms and hurricanes.

In its annual preseason forecast released Thursday, the team expects a total of nine named storms, three hurricanes and one major hurricane (Category 3 or higher) in the Atlantic Ocean basin. This forecast is a long-term average of 12 named storms, six hurricanes and three major hurricanes each season.

The forecast from CSU calls for fewer named storms and hurricanes.

EXTENDED RANGE FORECAST OF ATLANTIC SEASONAL HURRICANE ACTIVITY AND LANDFALL STRIKE PROBABILITY FOR 2014:

We anticipate that the 2014 Atlantic basin hurricane season will have below-average activity compared with the 1981-2010 climatology. It appears quite likely that an El Niño of at least moderate strength will develop this summer and fall. In addition, the tropical Atlantic has anomalously cooled over the past few months.

We anticipate a below-average probability for major hurricanes making landfall along the United States coastline and in the Caribbean. Despite the quiet forecast, coastal residents are reminded that it only takes one hurricane making landfall to make it an active season for them.

They are reminded to prepare the same for every season, regardless of how much or how little activity is predicted. (as of 10 April 2014)

Read the Klotzbach / Gray full report

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